Archive for April, 2008

Microsoft sets three-week deadline for Yahoo

Sunday, April 6th, 2008

Microsoft Corp. set the clock ticking for Yahoo Inc. to accept its $41-billion (U.S.) buyout offer in a letter to the Internet pioneer’s board Saturday, warning that if a deal wasn’t reached by April 26 the software maker would launch a hostile takeover at a less attractive price. “If we have not concluded an agreement within the next three weeks, we will be compelled to take our case directly to your shareholders, including the initiation of a proxy contest to elect an alternative slate of directors for the Yahoo board,” Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer wrote.

“If we are forced to take an offer directly to your shareholders, that action will have an undesirable impact on the value of your company from our perspective which will be reflected in the terms of our proposal,” he wrote.

A Yahoo spokeswoman declined to comment Saturday.

In the letter, Mr. Ballmer said Yahoo’s search share and page views, two measures of the strength of the Web portal company’s business, appear to have fallen since the offer was made at the end of January. At the time, Microsoft’s cash-and-stock offer was valued at $44.6-billion, or 62 per cent above Yahoo’s market value. Judging by Friday’s closing share prices, the deal is now worth just under $41-billion.

Yahoo’s board formally rejected Microsoft’s bid in February, saying it undervalues the company.

Since then, the Silicon Valley company has explored alliances with Google Inc., News Corp.’s MySpace.com and Time Warner Inc.’s AOL, but no alternative to Microsoft’s offer has surfaced.

Mr. Ballmer acknowledged the alternative negotiations and questioned why, in the absence of another offer, Yahoo was still dragging its heels.

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What’s pushing the inflation rate up?

Sunday, April 6th, 2008

Inflation is a measure of rise in general price levels of goods and services. Inflation is measured by taking a set of goods and services, and then the prices of the items in the set are compared to prices one time period ago.

In India, inflation is measured based on the wholesale price index (WPI) which measures the change in prices of a selection of goods at wholesale prices. Inflation is primarily of two types – inflation due to cost push and inflation due to demand pull (supply side). Cost push inflation is due to rise in costs of input materials or labour, whereas demand pull inflation is due to increase in demand beyond installed capacity.

Here are some of the main reasons behind rising inflation:

Price rise of essential commodities

The prices of the basic commodities – milk, vegetables, cereals, dairy products, cement, steel, edible oil etc – have gone up quite significantly, especially in the last few weeks. This is due to supply concerns. There is fear in the market that the supply of basic commodities is not increasing in proportion to population growth. This has triggered a wave of speculation in commodities and hence the prices are going up rapidly.

Commodity prices rise at global level

Rise in commodity prices at the global level is another factor that contributes to higher inflation in the country. The correction in global stock markets resulted in a rise of commodity prices all over the world as investors are using commodities, especially precious metals, to hedge their risk.

Rising oil prices

Crude oil prices have gone up significantly in the last few weeks. Although the government is controlling fuel prices in the country, rising crude oil prices plays a crucial role in general price rise.

Increasing demand

India’s economy is growing at around 7-8 percent per annum over the last few years. The per capita income levels have gone up and as a result, the demand for many commodities has increased significantly.

Basically, inflation does not have any direct relation to a fall or rise in the stock markets in the short term. However, when inflation goes up beyond the comfortable limit of the RBI and government, they take some strong policy measures such as tightening of monetary policies, regulatory controls, subsidy etc.

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Inflation at 7%; brace up for tough fiscal measures

Saturday, April 5th, 2008

Inflation has hit a 3-year high and stands at 7% versus 6.68% for the week ended March 22 . The market had estimated it at 6.52%.

The vegetable prices are up 4.9% for the week-ended March 22, while the primary articles WPI (Wholesale Price Index) is 1.8% for the same week end. The minerals WPI is up 38.2%, while the metallic minerals WPI is up 42.8% for the week-ended March 22.

The figures have come as surprise as most experts were looking at 6.25-6.75%. Most analysts had predicted that the headline inflation numbers could come off by almost 25 bps on account of a high base effect.

“It looks like there has been some updation of the past prices and that is why we are seeing this kind of jump in the price index.” says A Prasanna of ICICI Securities. However Indranil Pan, Chief Economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank feels that due to the non-transparent way in which the re-pricing and the sort of lag effect which is seen in certain items that have been incorporated into the inflation numbers, the broad range comes to 6.50-6.95%”

The markets have taken a knock back approach after inflation numbers announcement with capital goods, technology, auto, banking, power and telecom stocks taking a beating.”I think the stock market has already been impacted and has come down to about 30%. I think it is not just the inflation and slower growth in India that is worrying but also the problems in the US. So my sense is that the market is going to continue to be volatile and I would say that one should not rule out the market going down a little bit more.” feels Vivek Kudva, President-India of Franklin Templeton Investments.

On the monetary policy front, there is a high probability of some or moderate amount of monetary policy riding in the April policy as most experts see no respite for inflation for next 3 months.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a CRR hike today itself.” says Prasanna. “But the flows have to support the action by RBI and with uncertainty in equity markets right now, the flows are not as strong and that is probably why RBI may not immediately go for that kind of an action. Probably once the capital flows pick up, maybe that will be a more sustainable kind of strategy. So immediately for signaling effect, some kind of monetary action is needed.” he adds.

Bankers feel that RBI action should work in terms of easing supply constrains and pull down inflation by 50-60 bps.

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Airtel tests 3G services; set to launch operations

Saturday, April 5th, 2008

Bharti Airtel on Tuesday said it has successfully tested 3G applications with various equipment suppliers and is all set to start services as and when the spectrum was allocated.

“We have tested 3G applications at three places – Delhi, Mumbai and Bangalore – on a trial indoor spectrum given to us,” Bharti Airtel President (Mobility) Sanjay Kapoor said.

The Department of Telecom (DoT) has already announced to allot 3G spectrum through auction and the existing players like Airtel are gearing to start 3G service which enables subscribers much faster downloading facility and also wireless broadband.
Asked whether Bharti Airtel has the technology to offer 3G mobile services, Kapoor said, “We as an operator have 3G services in Seychelles. Our license for Sri Lanka is for 3G services as well and by the time 3G services are launched in India we will have enough experience.

“Moreover, we have SingTel as our partner who has wide experience of offering 3G services,” he said adding that for an operator who has 2G operations, 3G is just an incremental service.
On the equipment suppliers, with whom Bharti tested the services, Kapoor declined to specify their names but said they engaged more than one network companies.

Currently Swedish network company Ericsson and Nokia of Finland are vying for market share in the 3G space besides Chinese companies like Huawei and ZTE.

Bharti Airtel has offered the 3G services contract to Huawei in Sri Lanka. “Once we start here we will negotiate with all  the players before taking a final decision,” Kapoor said.

Asked how long the company would take to offer services once the spectrum was alloted, he said, “We will take 6-9 months from the date of allotment of spectrum. But we are still waiting for the final guidelines to be announced by the DoT.”

On the issue wi-max, Bharti official said the High Speed Data Packet Access (HSDPA) would be the right technology for wireless broadband as this is a tested technology in various parts of the world.

He also said the company is getting applications ready for the 3G contents. “We have started working on that and should be ready by the time services start.”

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Get ready to board new look Rajdhani, Shatabdi Express

Saturday, April 5th, 2008

Designer train

Rajdhani Express and Rajdhani Express and Shatabdi Express would soon sport a designer look. Indian Railways have engaged National Institute of Design (NID) to spice up the upholstery and coach interiors of the two high-end trains. Northern Railways are getting ready to run the trains with a new look from next week.

“Indian Railways is undergoing an image transformation. In its maiden attempt, it has decided to give these trains a ‘corporate look’,” a senior Rail Bhawan official said.

NID is also designing trains for Mumbai suburban services. “The age-old design of bed linen would also be replaced. After boarding the train, passengers would have an experience of five-star ambience around them, contrary to what they have had so far on these trains. We would also stress on improved ventilation and better illumination,” the official added.

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BSE launches Sensex Futures in the US

Saturday, April 5th, 2008

The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) on Friday launched trading of Sensitive Index-based Futures on the US Futures Exchange (USFE) in Chicago amid what was described as a “lot of excitement” among emerging market hedge fund managers and other US investors.

The electronic trading began without any formal ceremony signalling the beginning of an era of global integration for the BSE.

A USFE spokesperson said that they had been receiving a “lot of feedback” from emerging market hedge funds and other investors about the Futures. The official also said that there was a lot of interest among investors in Hong Kong, Singapore and elsewhere.

The trading, for the first time, allows US investors to directly participate in India’s equity markets without requiring American Depository Receipt (ADR) authorization.

The USFE said among the benefits of the trading will be that “overseas investors are now able to establish US regulated/non-American Depository Receipt (ADR) exposure in the Indian equity market”.

It said the BSE’s SENSEX future has “global appeal with widespread opportunities institutions, international mutual funds and individual investors”.

The trading will allow “immediate access to pure Indian equities exposure through existing futures accounts”. It will provide “trade with all the safety, security, and protections that a fully US regulated and cleared futures exchange provides”.

Said BSE managing director and CEO Rajnikant Patel: “The launch of a futures contract based on the Sensex will facilitate overseas investors in taking exposure to the Indian equities.”

He added: “I am confident the listing of the dollar denominated Sensex contract on USFE will elicit a very positive response from the international investing community.”

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